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Ringgit strengthens following US federal rate cut, gains 12.67% against dollar over six months | Scoop
Dr Mohd Afzanizam says a narrower gap between the FFR and OPR will likely strengthen the ringgit and attract more investment. - Scoop file pic, September 20, 2024
News

Ringgit strengthens following US federal rate cut, gains 12.67% against dollar over six months

The local currency continues its upward trajectory as analysts predict further gains, benefiting from narrowing interest rate differentials and global market conditions

Bernama
Updated
7:52 PM MYT

 

KUALA LUMPUR — The ringgit is the clear winner from the 50 basis points (bps) cut to the United States federal funds rate (FFR), as it continued its appreciation against the greenback, said an analyst.

At 6pm, the local note appreciated to 4.2005/2070 versus the greenback from Thursday’s close of 4.2025/2105.

Within six months, the ringgit rose 12.67% against the US dollar.

Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist Dr Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid said the gap between the FFR and the overnight policy rate (OPR) is likely to narrow, which bodes well for the ringgit as investment returns from ringgit-denominated assets will become increasingly appealing.

“True enough, the ringgit-US dollar has pierced its immediate support level of RM4.2128 and presently, the immediate support level is located at RM4.0728.

“Hence, we will see the ringgit making another attempt to reach a new groundbreaking level next week,” he said.

Moving forward, markets will be monitoring key data points, namely the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation, which will be published on Friday along with the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI).

The sentiment index rates the relative level of current and future economic conditions.

“Markets were receptive with the half-point cut by the Federal Reserve and it seems the US economy is in for a soft landing, alleviating recession fears,” Afzanizam added. 

Meanwhile, the ringgit was traded mostly higher against a basket of major currencies.

It gained versus the euro to 4.6878/6950 from Thursday’s closing of 4.6976/7065, strengthened vis-a-vis the Japanese yen to 2.9182/9229 from 2.9442/95008, but marginally fell against the British pound to 5.5841/5928 from yesterday’s close of 5.5822/5928.

The local note traded mixed against Asean currencies.

It edged up against the Singapore dollar to 3.2507/2559 from 3.2567/2632 at Thursday’s close but eased against the Thai baht to 12.7026/7288 from 12.6983/7294 yesterday.

The ringgit was almost flat against the Philippine peso at 7.55/7.56 from 7.55/7.58 on Thursday but inched down versus the Indonesian rupiah to 277.2/277.8 from 275.7/276.4 previously. — September 20, 2024

TAGS: Ringgit, US dollar, Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid, FFR, interest rate cuts, closing

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